In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	W/L	Odds	Unit Return	$ Return
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	L	+120	-5	-100
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	L	+116	-5	-100
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	+110	-5	-100
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	L	+165	-5	-100
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	L	+100	-5	-100
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	L	+195	-5	-100
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	W	+130	6.5	130
2	Best	New England	Miami	W	+110	5.5	110
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	L	+550	-5	-100
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	L	+205	-5	-100
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	W	+130	6.5	130
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	L	+160	-5	-100
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	L	+140	-5	-100
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	L	+100	-5	-100
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	L	+114	-5	-100
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	W	+195	9.75	195
4	Best	Carolina	New England	L	+205	-5	-100
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	W	+135	6.75	135
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	W	+100	5	100
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	+130	-5	-100
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	W	+130	6.5	130
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	W	+185	9.25	185
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	W	+165	8.25	165
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	W	+165	8.25	165
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	W	+350	17.5	350
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	W	+143	7.15	143
6	Best	New Orleans	New England	L	+168	-5	-100
6	Best	Detroit	Kansas City	L	+120	-5	-100
6	Best	Seattle	Jacksonville	W	+105	5.25	105
6	Other	Chicago	Washington	W	+210	10.5	210
6	Other	Atlanta	Buffalo	W	+190	9.5	190
7	Best	Atlanta	San Francisco	L	+140	-5	-100
7	Best	Miami	Cleveland	L	+120	-5	-100
7	Best	Indianapolis	LA Chargers	W	+120	6	120
7	Other	Tampa Bay	Detroit	L	+210	-5	-100
7	Other	Jacksonville	LA Rams	L	+150	-5	-100
7	Other	NY Giants	Denver	W*	+350	17.5	350
8	Best	Chicago	Baltimore	L	+270	-5	-100
8	Best	Dallas	Denver	L	+150	-5	-100
8	Best	San Francisco	Houston	L	+120	-5	-100
8	Other	NY Giants	Philadelphia	L	+325	-5	-100
9	Best	Atlanta	New England	L	+210	-5	-100
9	Best	Buffalo	Kansas City	W	+115	5.75	115
9	Best	Denver	Houston	W	+110	5.5	110
9	Other	Cincinnati	Chicago	L	+125	-5	-100
10	Best	Pittsburgh	LA Chargers	L	+150	-5	-100
10	Best	New England	Tampa Bay	W	+125	6.25	125
10	Best	Philadelphia	Green Bay	W	+125	6.25	125
10	Other	Arizona	Seattle	L	+270	-5	-100
10	Other	Minnesota	Baltimore	L	+210	-5	-100
10	Other	Jacksonville	Houston	W*	+100	5	100
11	Best	Tampa Bay	Buffalo	L	+220	-5	-100
11	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	+140	-5	-100
11	Best	Detroit	Philadelphia	W	+125	6.25	125
11	Other	Seattle	LA Rams	L	+130	-5	-100
11	Other	Carolina	Atlanta	W	+185	9.25	185
12	Best	Minnesota	Green Bay	L	+240	-5	-100
12	Best	Indianapolis	Kansas City	L	+160	-5	-100
12	Best	Atlanta	New Orleans	W	+125	6.25	125
12	Other	Cleveland	Las Vegas	W	+180	9	180
13	Best	Chicago	Philadelphia	W	+310	15.5	310
13	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	W	+300	15	300
13	Best	Houston	Indianapolis	W	+190	9.5	190
13	Other	New Orleans	Miami	L	+210	-5	-100
13	Other	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	L	+160	-5	-100
14	Best	Cincinnati	Buffalo	L	+210	-5	-100
14	Best	Dallas	Detroit	L	+150	-5	-100
14	Best	Houston	Kansas City	W	+185	9.25	185
14	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	+120	-5	-100
14	Other	Washington	Minnesota	L	+110	-5	-100
14	Other	Tennessee	Cleveland	W	+180	9	180
14	Other	Jacksonville	Indianapolis	W	+125	6.25	125
15	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	L	+225	-5	-100
15	Best	Denver	Green Bay	W	+120	6	120
15	Best	New England	Buffalo	W*	+110	5.5	110
15	Other	Miami	Pittsburgh	L	+180	-5	-100
15	Other	LA Chargers	Kansas City	W	+190	9.5	190
16	Best	LA Rams	Seattle	L	+110	-5	-100
16	Best	New England	Baltimore	W	+180	9	180
16	Best	Tennessee	Kansas City	W	+165	8.25	165
16	Other	Jacksonville	Denver	W	+155	7.75	155
16	Other	Carolina	Tampa Bay	W	+140	7	140
16	Other	LA Chargers	Dallas	W	+105	5.25	105
16	Other	Chicago	Green Bay	W	+102	5.1	102
17	Best	Tennessee	New Orleans	L	+134	-5	-100
17	Best	Houston	LA Chargers	W	+114	5.7	114
17	Best	NY Giants	Las Vegas	W	+105	5.25	105
17	Other	Carolina	Seattle	L	+310	-5	-100
17	Other	Chicago	San Francisco	L	+175	-5	-100
17	Other	Baltimore	Green Bay	W	+165	8.25	165
17	Other	Philadelphia	Buffalo	W	+145	7.25	145
18	Best	Carolina	Tampa Bay	L	+140	-5	-100
18	Best	Las Vegas	Kansas City	W	+225	11.25	225
18	Best	Detroit	Chicago	W	+165	8.25	165
18	Other	San Francisco	Seattle	L	+130	-5	-100

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: +14.5 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +70.5 units

Best bets Season record: 27-27 (50%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: -5 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +68.5 units

Other bets season record: 20-21 (48.8%)

Total week profit/loss: +9.5 units

Total Season profit/loss: +139.5 units

Total season record: 47-48 (49.5% +$2,779)

* Bets are placed with Bet365 which means if a team goes ahead by 17 points or more, our bet wins even if they subsequently lose.

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